To plan in an industry that is this complex, volatile and uncertain, scenario planning and real option theory are the de facto standard to navigate the future with success scenario planning has been around in the oil and gas industry for almost 50 years. Our six-step scenario-based approach to strategic planning, scenarios go even one step further by answering ‘what if, then’ questions and hence giving strategic recommendations for a specific course of action to be undertaken by organizations in the. Automotive revolution – perspective towards 2030 scenario the automotive revenue pool will grow and diversify with new car sharing is a growth industry . 2 cgma tool: scenario planning: providing insight for impact scenario planning is a management tool that is designed to allow organizations to evaluate the efficacy of strategies, tactics, and plans under a range of possible future environments.
Scenario planning often takes place in a workshop setting of high level executives, technical experts, and industry leaders the idea is to bring together a wide range of perspectives in order to consider scenarios other than the widely accepted forecasts. How scenario planning changed corporate strategy 2 / 3 free articles left remaining register for more an emphasis on clean fuels leads to a reconstruction of the industry shell scenarios 1995. Learn how we have helped clients across industry verticals to chart successful paths into the future scenario planning for consumer products enterprise strategy.
Survival in the health-care industry demands scenario-based if you’re not scenario planning, you’re not planning this bold assertion, issued in a recent white . To long-term planning” vision 2040 – global scenarios for the oil and gas industry 7 trends four trends were identified as determinant for the. Apply these concepts in case studies of industry leaders jetblue, starbucks, intel corporate venturing and tata motors you will learn the scenario planning tool . Managing uncertainty with scenario planning automotive industry low-price fuel scenario planning in a. Scenario planning is a thorough the automotive company realized it needed a better way it will certainly affect competitors and the industry — and those .
Keywords: future studies, scenario, scenario planning, ict vision, construction industry reference: erdogan b, abbott c, aouad g, kazi a s (2009) construction it in 2030: a scenario planning approach, journal of information technology in construction (itcon), vol 14, special issue next generation. Why choose this training course with increased volatility of oil and gas prices, changing regulations, (geo)political conflicts and new technologies, planning and decision making in the oil and gas industry requires the use of multiple scenarios and real option valuation techniques to maximize potential upside and minimize potential downside. Scenario planning, also called scenario thinking or scenario analysis, is a strategic planning method that some organizations use to make flexible long-term plans it is in large part an adaptation and generalization of classic methods used by military intelligence  . Digitalization of automotive industry – scenarios for future manufacturing steven peters1,, jung-hoon chun2, and gisela lanza1 1 institute of production science (wbk), karlsruhe institute of technology (kit), karlsruhe, 76131 germany. Start studying 3: macro environmental analysis and scenario planning learn vocabulary, terms, and more with flashcards, games, and other study tools.
2 strategis partners brieﬁ ng paper scenario planning for new product and service development where will your next wave of products and services come from industry, technology and customer scenarios can guide the development. Our scenarios ask “what if” questions, helping us explore alternative views of the future they consider long-term trends in economics, energy supply and demand, geopolitical shifts and social change. Car buying behaviour and industry scenario, we’ve created a short portrait scenarios for the transformation of the automotive industry 3. The automotive industry is in the midst of an historic change right before our eyes nearly every day we read in the news about an actual or future shake-up in the market, new business models, or a new value chain the question is how to deal with this change in the face of uncertainty, scenario . Scenario planning and uncertainty developing a dynamic strategy in a changing healthcare environment kpmgcom.
To undertake scenario planning, use the internet and/or major economic publications from local and international governments to determine what the major external risks are for the industries you serve and the industry you are in. The national leader in policy and professional development for the transportation industry these scenario planning the eno center for transportation is a . The power of scenario planning by james deverell, director, csiro futures smart thinking about possible futures can allow the industry to be prepared for uncertainty. Of k or w al in rigo source: eurostattable 7: value of eu passenger car imports – 2009nevertheless, the european automotive industry remains a net exporter for the eu,representing a trade balance of nearly €26 billion in 2009 (down from €40 billion in green car future 2020: scenario implications for the european automotive industry 37.
The future of automotive: scenarios driving the digital transformation of an industry. As one would expect, detailed contingency and scenario planning has occurred the car industry has always intertwined the state, diplomacy, buccaneering enterprise, high design and cutting . Workforce modeling/scenario planning automotive industry leader deploys orgpublisher™ by aquire for efficiency, “what-if” planning and better workforce . Alberto torrijos, automotive industry leader, deloitte consulting, will discuss how suppliers can leverage their mexican presence through scenario planning, .